Fernwald vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WOR
3 - 2
FER
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
FER
2 - 1
FRA
28%
23%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 2
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
FER
1 - 3
BAY
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SWM
1 - 3
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
WUR
6 - 1
BUC
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BUC
5 - 0
BRA
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
KKA
0 - 1
BUC
46%
27%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BUC
3 - 0
FUL
28%
26%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BUC
0 - 2
FSV
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |