Fernández Vial vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IQU
0 - 0
FVC
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 3
UCO
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 2
FVC
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FVC
0 - 0
DEP
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
DSC
2 - 0
FVC
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
COB
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEP
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
IQU
3 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |