Fermana vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
FER
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
FER
0 - 2
VIS
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
FER
0 - 2
BEN
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
PAT
0 - 1
FER
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
TAR
0 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
TER
2 - 1
TAR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 1
SSS
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
TAR
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
TAR
1 - 0
AVE
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |