Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
FCS
22%
29%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
LEG
50%
27%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
VIS
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 2
SSS
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SSS
5 - 1
CAR
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 1
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
SSS
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SSS
1 - 0
VIR
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |