Fermana vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TER
0 - 1
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 4
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FER
2 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 0
FER
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FER
1 - 1
VIS
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
ABN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 0
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
NAP
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
NAP
2 - 3
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |