Fermana vs Isernia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
REC
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACL
2 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +8 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
23%
28%
50%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 1
FER
71%
20%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GIU
2 - 0
ISE
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ISE
0 - 2
ASC
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ISE
3 - 2
FID
37%
25%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SSS
3 - 2
ISE
75%
15%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ISE
3 - 2
CIT
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |