Fermana vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
VIR
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
RIE
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
TER
0 - 0
FER
50%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
FER
79%
16%
5%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GER
1 - 2
IMO
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIC
0 - 0
GER
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CRO
4 - 0
GER
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
USA
0 - 1
GER
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
PIA
4 - 2
GER
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |