Fermana vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REN
2 - 0
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
21%
27%
53%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
ASG
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VIC
1 - 1
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
FER
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FAN
0 - 0
TER
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 1
FAN
47%
28%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 0
MES
28%
28%
45%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 0
FAN
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FAN
0 - 1
ASG
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |