Fermana vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
2 - 1
FER
32%
29%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
FER
1 - 1
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 0
FER
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
FER
0 - 1
GIU
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
VIS
0 - 0
FER
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 0
BEN
47%
28%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
SAS
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
NOC
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASC
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
GIU
0 - 0
BEN
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |