Fermana vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 2
FER
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FER
2 - 2
SSS
31%
29%
40%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FER
2 - 0
TER
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ACI
0 - 0
FCC
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 4
ACI
30%
27%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ACI
1 - 0
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
TER
0 - 2
ACI
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ACI
3 - 0
SOR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |