Fermana vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
54.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 1
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FER
0 - 1
ALZ
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
FER
1 - 2
VIC
9%
23%
69%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
CHI
2 - 1
FER
79%
16%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ASS
1 - 1
PIS
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 0
ASS
54%
25%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASS
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ASS
1 - 0
ATL
19%
29%
52%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASS
69%
19%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |