Ferlach vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
WEL
2 - 1
FLC
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FLC
0 - 0
KMD
51%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
FLC
1 - 4
WOL
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RAP
1 - 1
FLC
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
STE
5 - 2
FLC
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 2
BLE
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
VOL
4 - 1
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 1
TRE
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
WEL
68%
19%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
KMD
2 - 0
TRE
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |