Ferlach vs Spittal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
VEI
5 - 2
FLC
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FLC
0 - 0
BLE
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WAC
2 - 1
FLC
44%
23%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FLC
0 - 0
VOL
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
DRA
1 - 2
FLC
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 2
MSA
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 1
LEN
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
VEI
0 - 0
SPI
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
5 - 1
BLE
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
WAC
1 - 1
SPI
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |