Ferlach vs Köttmannsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
11º
14º
13º
26
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
51.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AUK
0 - 0
FLC
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FLC
1 - 5
ATV
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BLE
2 - 2
FLC
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FLC
1 - 1
DON
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
SCL
2 - 2
FLC
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Köttmannsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KMD
3 - 0
SPI
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
KMD
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KMD
0 - 2
SVH
5%
12%
83%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
DON
1 - 3
KMD
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KMD
5 - 3
SCL
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |