Ferlach vs FC Nussdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SVV
2 - 2
FLC
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FLC
0 - 4
SCL
24%
24%
52%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WOL
3 - 2
FLC
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FLC
1 - 2
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BLE
4 - 0
FLC
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Nussdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FCW
0 - 3
TRE
32%
26%
42%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SCL
1 - 3
FCW
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FCW
0 - 3
MIC
48%
25%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FCW
0 - 3
SVV
19%
22%
58%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SCL
5 - 1
FCW
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |