Ferizaj vs Dukagjini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
8º
51
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
KFB
2 - 0
FER
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
TRE
33%
25%
43%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 0
FER
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
DSK
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCD
3 - 0
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dukagjini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
KFD
3 - 1
TRE
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DSK
1 - 4
KFD
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
KFD
1 - 0
UEM
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GJI
2 - 0
KFD
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
KFD
1 - 1
KFB
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |