Ferencvárosi vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
12º
1º
46
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
FTC
4 - 3
AZA
19%
22%
60%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
EIN
2 - 0
FTC
81%
14%
6%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
PGL
1 - 0
FTC
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
PRE
0 - 0
FTC
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NYI
0 - 1
FTC
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MTK
3 - 0
TAT
87%
10%
4%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
MTK
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 3
MTK
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
UCL
1 - 2
MTK
43%
24%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MTK
3 - 2
FHV
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |