Feralpisalò vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
FER
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PAD
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 2
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FER
5 - 1
LEG
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 2
FER
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
PRO
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
GER
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
GER
52%
27%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 0
GER
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |