Union Brescia vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CES
2 - 4
FER
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
IMO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 1
FER
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 0
FER
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
ARZ
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 1
ASG
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCS
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 0
FER
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 0
FCS
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
RAV
0 - 3
FCS
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |