Union Brescia vs AC Mezzocorona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OLB
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 0
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
CRO
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FER
3 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AC Mezzocorona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 2
FCC
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 0
ACM
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 1
SPE
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +5 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 5
ACM
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
ACM
70%
20%
11%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +1 |