Fénix vs Montevideo City Torque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
16º
16º
16
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DEF
1 - 3
FEN
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 2
FEN
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 3
LFC
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
REN
1 - 3
FEN
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
DAN
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 2
BOS
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 2
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MWA
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |