Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 1
FEN
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CER
1 - 0
FEN
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FEN
0 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 2
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 2
BOS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 2
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 3
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
BOS
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LFC
0 - 1
DEF
34%
26%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 0
ETS
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |