Fénix vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
70%
17%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
FEN
2 - 0
JUN
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 1
FEN
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 2
PRO
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DAN
2 - 2
FEN
73%
17%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CER
1 - 2
DEF
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 5
LFC
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 2
DEF
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 4
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |