Fenerbahçe vs Manisaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 3
FEN
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
FEN
1 - 0
ORD
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
FEN
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 3
FEN
44%
24%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 0
SHA
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manisaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ORD
1 - 0
MAN
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
TRA
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
IST
0 - 0
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MAN
4 - 2
BUC
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |