Fenerbahçe vs Manisaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 0
GAZ
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 0
FEN
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 0
ANT
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IST
2 - 1
FEN
27%
27%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 1
LIL
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manisaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
IST
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAN
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 0
DEN
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
DIY
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SIV
1 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |