Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AKB
0 - 3
FEN
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
FEN
3 - 1
DIY
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 0
BJK
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LOK
1 - 1
FEN
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
KAY
0 - 2
GEN
35%
28%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
IST
1 - 0
KAY
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
KAY
2 - 2
GAZ
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 1
KAY
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
KAY
0 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |