Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 3
FEN
15%
22%
63%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 1
ALA
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
KAS
0 - 3
FEN
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FEN
4 - 1
IST
64%
20%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
GFK
3 - 1
FEN
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kasımpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 2
KAS
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
KAS
0 - 3
FEN
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
IST
2 - 2
KAS
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
KAS
0 - 4
GFK
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
YEN
2 - 0
KAS
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |