Felanitx vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Felanitx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 0
FLN
28%
24%
49%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FLN
2 - 0
UDR
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
FLN
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FLN
0 - 0
BNS
21%
27%
52%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LLO
1 - 2
FLN
84%
11%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
CAM
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
MER
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
PBL
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PXD
2 - 1
MER
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
SRF
53%
25%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |