Feirense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 1
FEI
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
FEI
3 - 1
MAF
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
EST
3 - 3
FEI
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FEI
0 - 4
CHA
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 2
FEI
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ARO
2 - 1
VIZ
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 2
ARO
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 0
BEN
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AEA
0 - 5
ARO
8%
14%
79%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COV
0 - 2
ARO
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |