Feirense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
FEI
1 - 2
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
SPB
6 - 2
FEI
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FEI
0 - 0
ACA
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FEI
0 - 1
BEL
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
FEI
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 0
ARO
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
PAÇ
27%
26%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SCP
3 - 0
ARO
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 1
COV
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +2 |