Fehring vs Judenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
8º
2º
15
15º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
1 - 1
FEH
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ANN
1 - 3
FEH
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HGK
1 - 1
FEH
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FEH
3 - 1
LIE
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
FEH
70%
16%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Judenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SVF
0 - 0
JUD
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
4 - 0
JUD
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
JUD
1 - 0
HGK
4%
10%
86%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
JUD
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JUD
1 - 2
UGA
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |