FCSR Haguenau vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
15º
10º
35
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSR Haguenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SML
1 - 2
FCS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
BOB
22%
26%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCS
40%
25%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
REI
2 - 3
FCS
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
STG
0 - 1
USB
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
STG
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STG
0 - 1
BRC
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
STG
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STG
1 - 2
SPI
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |