Eredivisie round 6

PEC Zwolle vs Willem II analysis

PEC Zwolle Willem II
70 ELO 75
19% Tilt -8.2%
407º General ELO ranking 382º
15º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
34.9%
PEC Zwolle
23.6%
Draw
41.4%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.4%
Win probability
Willem II
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PEC Zwolle
+6%
-23%
Willem II

ELO progression

PEC Zwolle
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2020
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
28%
27%
44%
70 59 11 0
18 Oct. 2020
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
0 - 3
PSV
PSV
11%
18%
71%
70 87 17 0
08 Oct. 2020
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
3 - 3
Utrecht
UTR
24%
22%
54%
69 81 12 +1
26 Sep. 2020
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
4 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
55%
23%
23%
68 67 1 +1
19 Sep. 2020
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
71%
19%
10%
68 84 16 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2020
WIL
Willem II
0 - 3
Twente
TWE
53%
24%
23%
75 71 4 0
04 Oct. 2020
WIL
Willem II
1 - 4
Feyenoord
FEY
18%
22%
59%
75 84 9 0
27 Sep. 2020
FCE
Emmen
1 - 1
Willem II
WIL
18%
21%
61%
76 65 11 -1
24 Sep. 2020
WIL
Willem II
0 - 4
Rangers
GLA
24%
25%
51%
77 86 9 -1
20 Sep. 2020
WIL
Willem II
4 - 0
Heracles
HER
46%
25%
29%
76 74 2 +1