PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 5
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
ZWO
2 - 2
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
84%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 1
MVV
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
91%
6%
3%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 3
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
UTR
0 - 0
PSV
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |