PEC Zwolle vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RKC
1 - 1
ZWO
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
ZWO
0 - 1
GRO
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ADO
1 - 1
ZWO
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 1
NEC
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AZA
2 - 1
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 2
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
19%
22%
58%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |