Ukraine Third Division Round 20

PFK Zvyagel vs Kremin II analysis

PFK Zvyagel Kremin II
66 ELO 27
-5.9% Tilt 10.7%
49180º General ELO ranking 49177º
337º Country ELO ranking 334º
ELO win probability
70.1%
PFK Zvyagel
18.8%
Draw
11.1%
Kremin II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
PFK Zvyagel
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11.1%
Win probability
Kremin II
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PFK Zvyagel
+3%
+13%
Kremin II

Points and table prediction

PFK Zvyagel
Their league position
Kremin II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
6
13º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UCSA
62
65
34.5%
PFK Zvyagel
61
65
42%
Druzhba
62
65
27.5%
Chayka
51
54
99%
Skala Stryi
41
42
51.5%
Karpaty II
39
42
28%
Kudrivka
40
40
35.5%
FC Nyva Vinnytsya
33
39
34%
Rukh Lviv II
37
37
57%
VAST Mykolaiv
15º
0
32
10º
33%
Lokomotiv Kyiv
10º
28
31
11º
52%
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
13º
16
25
12º
27%
FK Trostyanets
11º
21
24
13º
44.5%
Real Pharma
12º
19
19
14º
82.5%
Kremin II
14º
6
7
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
PFK Zvyagel
Kremin II
Promotion
22% 0%
Promotion play-offs
78% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

PFK Zvyagel
Kremin II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PFK Zvyagel
PFK Zvyagel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2024
FKC
Khust City
0 - 2
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
17%
18%
65%
66 56 10 0
09 Mar. 2024
FCZ
PFK Zvyagel
0 - 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
FKA
37%
24%
39%
66 67 1 0
06 Mar. 2024
BUK
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
3 - 0
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
13%
17%
70%
66 55 11 0
27 Feb. 2024
FCD
Dinaz Vyshhorod
2 - 1
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
13%
16%
71%
66 53 13 0
25 Feb. 2024
FCZ
PFK Zvyagel
1 - 0
Livyi Bereh
LIV
38%
23%
39%
66 65 1 0

Matches

Kremin II
Kremin II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2024
HSP
Hirnyk-Sport
2 - 2
Kremin II
FKK
68%
19%
13%
26 52 26 0
24 Nov. 2023
MET
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
2 - 1
Kremin II
FKK
70%
16%
14%
27 37 10 -1
18 Nov. 2023
RPH
Real Pharma
2 - 1
Kremin II
FKK
67%
18%
16%
27 38 11 0
10 Nov. 2023
FKK
Kremin II
0 - 1
UCSA
UCS
25%
21%
54%
28 41 13 -1
04 Nov. 2023
CHA
Chayka
5 - 0
Kremin II
FKK
76%
16%
9%
28 58 30 0