PFK Zvyagel vs Chayka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
2º
50
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 63 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
97% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
66% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 7
FCZ
15%
21%
65%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
FCL
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
0 - 1
OBO
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 0
UCS
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
4 - 1
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Chayka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
MET
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RPH
1 - 1
CHA
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
UCS
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 4
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 3
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |