Ukraine Third Division Round 6

PFK Zvyagel vs Chayka analysis

PFK Zvyagel Chayka
61 ELO 56
-2.6% Tilt 13.1%
49407º General ELO ranking 3563º
342º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
53.8%
PFK Zvyagel
24.9%
Draw
21.4%
Chayka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
PFK Zvyagel
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.4%
Win probability
Chayka
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

PFK Zvyagel
Their league position
Chayka
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UCSA
62
65
34.5%
PFK Zvyagel
61
65
42%
Druzhba
62
65
27.5%
Chayka
51
54
99%
Skala Stryi
41
42
51.5%
Karpaty II
39
42
28%
Kudrivka
40
40
35.5%
Nyva Vinnytsya
33
39
34%
Rukh Lviv II
37
37
57%
VAST Mykolaiv
15º
0
32
10º
33%
Lokomotiv Kyiv
10º
28
31
11º
52%
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
13º
16
25
12º
27%
FK Trostyanets
11º
21
24
13º
44.5%
Real Pharma
12º
19
19
14º
82.5%
Kremin II
14º
6
7
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
PFK Zvyagel
Chayka
Promotion
22% 0%
Promotion play-offs
78% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

PFK Zvyagel
Chayka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PFK Zvyagel
PFK Zvyagel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2023
FKK
Kremin II
0 - 7
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
14%
20%
66%
62 35 27 0
27 Aug. 2023
FCZ
PFK Zvyagel
4 - 0
Lokomotiv Kyiv
FCL
83%
12%
5%
62 9 53 0
23 Aug. 2023
FCZ
PFK Zvyagel
0 - 1
Obolon
OBO
29%
23%
48%
62 69 7 0
15 Aug. 2023
FCZ
PFK Zvyagel
4 - 0
UCSA
UCS
83%
12%
5%
62 20 42 0
11 Aug. 2023
FCZ
PFK Zvyagel
4 - 1
FK Trostyanets
FKT
64%
21%
15%
62 50 12 0

Matches

Chayka
Chayka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2023
CHA
Chayka
3 - 0
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
MET
58%
23%
19%
54 47 7 0
26 Aug. 2023
RPH
Real Pharma
1 - 1
Chayka
CHA
27%
26%
47%
54 47 7 0
19 Aug. 2023
CHA
Chayka
1 - 3
UCSA
UCS
81%
13%
5%
54 20 34 0
12 Aug. 2023
KAR
Karpaty II
0 - 4
Chayka
CHA
48%
25%
28%
53 53 0 +1
06 Aug. 2023
FKK
Kremin II
0 - 3
Chayka
CHA
28%
24%
48%
52 42 10 +1