FC Zarechnoye vs Ocean Kerch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+442%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Zarechnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
FCZ
3 - 3
TSK
8%
13%
80%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
FCZ
1 - 2
FCG
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FCZ
7 - 1
FKG
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SKT
0 - 2
FCZ
31%
21%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
FCZ
0 - 2
KYB
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ocean Kerch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
OCE
7 - 0
FKG
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
KYB
4 - 1
OCE
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
OCE
2 - 1
YAL
45%
21%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
OCE
8 - 1
FCG
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SKT
1 - 2
OCE
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |