Winden vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FCW
1 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HOR
4 - 0
FCW
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCW
4 - 1
ASK
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 0
FCW
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCW
4 - 1
STM
49%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SCO
0 - 6
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
OBE
28%
25%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
KLI
1 - 0
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
STI
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEU
2 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |