Winden vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SVS
2 - 1
FCW
83%
12%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FCW
0 - 1
NEU
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
FCW
1 - 1
EBE
30%
24%
47%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
STI
4 - 0
FCW
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
PUR
3 - 0
FCW
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
PUR
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SVW
2 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
GUS
2 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
SVS
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
OBE
1 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |