Weesen vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
13º
16º
16º
40
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 44 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
76% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DUB
3 - 2
FCW
25%
20%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
TAG
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
3 - 0
FCW
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCW
4 - 4
CHU
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
4 - 3
FCW
56%
19%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 3
WIL
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DSG
4 - 1
FCT
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 2
FCB
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 0
UST
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DUB
3 - 1
FCT
16%
19%
66%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -2 |