Wacker Grenchen vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wacker Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
FCW
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
FCW
1 - 3
ALL
25%
24%
51%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FCT
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FCO
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCE
0 - 7
MOU
12%
17%
71%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 2
LYS
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 3
MOU
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |