Eredivisie Round 4

FC Volendam vs Ajax analysis

FC Volendam Ajax
81 ELO 88
22% Tilt 23.8%
627º General ELO ranking 106º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.1%
FC Volendam
22.9%
Draw
49%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
FC Volendam
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49%
Win probability
Ajax
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Volendam
+10%
+1%
Ajax

ELO progression

FC Volendam
Ajax
Heerenveen
Go Ahead Eagles
SC Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Volendam
FC Volendam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
NAC
NAC Breda
6 - 1
FC Volendam
VOL
33%
24%
43%
81 78 3 0
19 Jul. 2025
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 1
FC Volendam
VOL
40%
22%
37%
81 78 3 0
12 Jul. 2025
VOL
RKAV Volendam
1 - 2
FC Volendam
VOL
13%
17%
70%
81 59 22 0
08 Jul. 2025
KAT
Katwijk
1 - 1
FC Volendam
VOL
21%
21%
59%
81 66 15 0
05 Jul. 2025
PUR
Purmersteijn
1 - 7
FC Volendam
VOL
6%
12%
82%
81 49 32 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2025
COM
Como
3 - 0
Ajax
AJA
48%
23%
29%
88 90 2 0
24 Jul. 2025
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
Celtic
CEL
62%
20%
18%
88 81 7 0
19 Jul. 2025
AJA
Ajax
3 - 2
KV Mechelen
KVM
50%
23%
27%
88 87 1 0
16 Jul. 2025
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
PAOK
PAO
65%
20%
16%
88 81 7 0
12 Jul. 2025
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
62%
20%
18%
88 83 5 0