Eredivisie Round 32

FC Volendam vs Ajax analysis

FC Volendam Ajax
67 ELO 89
21.9% Tilt 15.7%
626º General ELO ranking 106º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.2%
FC Volendam
17.4%
Draw
68.4%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
FC Volendam
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
68.4%
Win probability
Ajax
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Volendam
+12%
+3%
Ajax

Points and table prediction

FC Volendam
Their league position
Ajax
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
11º
18º
18º
56
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
91
91
100%
Feyenoord
84
84
100%
Twente
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
65
65
100%
Ajax
56
56
100%
NEC Nijmegen
53
53
100%
Utrecht
50
50
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
49
49
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
46
46
100%
Fortuna Sittard
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Heerenveen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
PEC Zwolle
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Almere City
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Heracles
14º
33
33
14º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
15º
29
29
15º
0%
Excelsior
16º
29
29
16º
0%
Vitesse
18º
6
24
17º
100%
FC Volendam
17º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Volendam
Ajax
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

FC Volendam
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Volendam
FC Volendam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2024
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 0
FC Volendam
VOL
66%
20%
13%
68 82 14 0
12 Apr. 2024
EXC
Excelsior
4 - 0
FC Volendam
VOL
44%
25%
31%
69 69 0 -1
07 Apr. 2024
VOL
FC Volendam
3 - 2
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
38%
26%
37%
68 74 6 +1
04 Apr. 2024
VOL
FC Volendam
0 - 0
Feyenoord
FEY
16%
19%
65%
67 89 22 +1
31 Mar. 2024
ALM
Almere City
1 - 1
FC Volendam
VOL
53%
25%
23%
67 75 8 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2024
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
74%
16%
10%
89 70 19 0
14 Apr. 2024
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
Twente
TWE
48%
24%
28%
89 89 0 0
07 Apr. 2024
FEY
Feyenoord
6 - 0
Ajax
AJA
38%
24%
38%
89 89 0 0
04 Apr. 2024
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
70%
18%
12%
89 80 9 0
31 Mar. 2024
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
16%
19%
65%
89 78 11 0