Austria Fourth Division Tyrol Round 23

Volders vs Mils analysis

Volders Mils
43 ELO 28
-7.4% Tilt 10%
6299º General ELO ranking 10184º
106º Country ELO ranking 222º
ELO win probability
72.7%
Volders
15.9%
Draw
11.4%
Mils

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
Volders
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.4%
Win probability
Mils
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Volders
-24%
+24%
Mils

Points and table prediction

Volders
Their league position
Mils
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
14º
22
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wacker Innsbruck
67
70
100%
Swarovski Tirol II
55
58
100%
SK St. Johann
55
55
100%
Fügen
42
42
100%
Telfs
38
41
100%
Kematen
35
35
100%
Volders
31
34
93.5%
Ebbs
31
31
20%
Innsbrucker AC
29
30
20%
Völs
10º
28
29
10º
58%
Wörgl
12º
23
23
11º
0%
Kundl
11º
23
23
12º
6.5%
Mils
13º
22
22
13º
81.5%
Mötz / Silz
14º
19
19
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Volders
Mils
100% 100%

ELO progression

Volders
Mils
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Volders
Volders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2025
VOL
Völs
2 - 0
Volders
FCV
28%
23%
49%
45 38 7 0
04 May. 2025
FCV
Volders
2 - 1
Ebbs
EBB
41%
25%
34%
44 44 0 +1
26 Apr. 2025
FUG
Fügen
1 - 3
Volders
FCV
67%
18%
16%
41 48 7 +3
18 Apr. 2025
FCV
Volders
1 - 1
Wörgl
WOR
50%
22%
29%
41 37 4 0
13 Apr. 2025
STJ
SK St. Johann
3 - 1
Volders
FCV
65%
19%
16%
42 50 8 -1

Matches

Mils
Mils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2025
SCM
Mils
2 - 1
Mötz / Silz
MOT
13%
15%
72%
24 40 16 0
04 May. 2025
KEM
Kematen
1 - 0
Mils
SCM
80%
13%
8%
24 46 22 0
25 Apr. 2025
KUN
Kundl
2 - 2
Mils
SCM
72%
16%
12%
23 40 17 +1
19 Apr. 2025
SCM
Mils
1 - 3
Völs
VOL
23%
21%
56%
24 37 13 -1
13 Apr. 2025
EBB
Ebbs
2 - 0
Mils
SCM
77%
14%
9%
24 43 19 0