Victoria Chișinău vs FCM Ungheni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
12º
7º
6
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
7 | 32 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 29 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 28 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 23 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 23 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 21 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 16 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 12 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 10 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 8 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
50.5% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Chișinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
ISK
1 - 0
FCV
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 1
ZIM
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FLO
5 - 1
FCV
11%
17%
72%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FCV
0 - 2
FST
79%
12%
8%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCV
3 - 1
UNG
64%
17%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FCM Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
ZIM
3 - 2
UNG
43%
22%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
UNG
3 - 1
CFO
86%
9%
5%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ISK
2 - 1
UNG
38%
23%
39%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCV
3 - 1
UNG
64%
17%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 3
UNG
10%
15%
75%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |