FC Vaduz vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
9º
3º
76
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
STA
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 1
FCV
19%
22%
60%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 2
SCH
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCV
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 2
SIO
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 2
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
THU
3 - 1
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
NEX
4 - 0
THU
20%
23%
58%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |