Challenge League round 20

FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

FC Vaduz Neuchâtel Xamax
64 ELO 59
5.5% Tilt 29.3%
1008º General ELO ranking 1671º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
49.8%
FC Vaduz
24.6%
Draw
25.6%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Vaduz
-2%
-12%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Points and table prediction

FC Vaduz
Their league position
Neuchâtel Xamax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sion
79
79
100%
Thun
76
76
100%
FC Vaduz
49
49
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax
49
49
0%
FC Wil
44
44
100%
Aarau
43
43
0%
Stade Nyonnais
43
43
0%
AC Bellinzona
42
42
100%
Schaffhausen
38
38
100%
Baden
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Vaduz
Neuchâtel Xamax
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Vaduz
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2024
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
45%
24%
31%
64 67 3 0
20 Jan. 2024
RAP
Rapperswil
2 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
25%
21%
54%
64 59 5 0
13 Jan. 2024
YOB
Young Boys
3 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
83%
12%
6%
64 85 21 0
17 Dec. 2023
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
55%
24%
22%
65 59 6 -1
08 Dec. 2023
STA
Stade Nyonnais
1 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
40%
23%
37%
65 63 2 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2024
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Baden
BAD
58%
22%
20%
60 54 6 0
20 Jan. 2024
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
6 - 1
Breitenrain
BRE
59%
21%
21%
60 52 8 0
17 Jan. 2024
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 4
Biel-Bienne
BIE
60%
20%
19%
60 51 9 0
13 Jan. 2024
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
6 - 1
Naters
NAT
81%
13%
6%
60 37 23 0
10 Jan. 2024
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
16%
20%
64%
60 75 15 0