Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 2-5
FC Vaduz vs Hapoel Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
HAP
4 - 0
FCV
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
STG
4 - 2
FCV
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
VOJ
1 - 3
FCV
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
FCV
0 - 2
VOJ
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
HAP
2 - 2
MTA
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
HAP
4 - 0
FCV
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
HAP
1 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
HAP
1 - 0
MAC
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
IKS
2 - 1
HAP
31%
26%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |