Challenge League round 30

FC Vaduz vs Aarau analysis

FC Vaduz Aarau
60 ELO 72
7.2% Tilt 16%
1012º General ELO ranking 763º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
27.1%
FC Vaduz
24.9%
Draw
48.1%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.1%
Win probability
Aarau
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

FC Vaduz
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2013
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
FC Balzers
FCB
84%
11%
5%
61 35 26 0
28 Apr. 2013
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
63%
21%
16%
61 71 10 0
21 Apr. 2013
FCV
FC Vaduz
0 - 0
Biel-Bienne
BIE
55%
23%
22%
61 58 3 0
17 Apr. 2013
ESC
Eschen/Mauren
0 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
13%
18%
69%
60 42 18 +1
13 Apr. 2013
LOC
Locarno
0 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
31%
24%
45%
60 53 7 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2013
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
32%
26%
42%
72 66 6 0
22 Apr. 2013
FCA
Aarau
3 - 2
FC Lugano
LUG
67%
20%
14%
72 61 11 0
13 Apr. 2013
BIE
Biel-Bienne
0 - 2
Aarau
FCA
24%
24%
53%
72 58 14 0
07 Apr. 2013
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
54%
23%
23%
71 66 5 +1
01 Apr. 2013
WOH
Wohlen
1 - 3
Aarau
FCA
20%
24%
56%
71 58 13 0